An Analytical and Experimental Comparison of Maximal Lottery Schemes

With F. Brandt and C. Stricker
Working paper (July 2020)
[pdf]

Randomized voting rules are gaining increasing attention in social choice theory. A particularly interesting class of such rules are maximal lottery (ML) schemes, which were proposed by Peter Fishburn in 1984 and have been repeatedly recommended for practical use. However, the subtle differences between different ML schemes are often overlooked. Two canonical subsets of ML schemes are C1-ML schemes (which only depend on unweighted majority comparisons) and C2-ML schemes (which only depend on weighted majority comparisons). We prove that C2-ML schemes are the only SD-efficient, but also among the most manipulable, ML schemes. While all ML schemes violate monotonicity, we show that they do satisfy a relative notion of monotonicity. We also evaluate the frequency of manipulable preference profiles and the degree of randomization of ML schemes via extensive computer simulations. In general, ML schemes are rarely manipulable and often do not randomize at all, especially when there are only few alternatives. The average degree of randomization of C2-ML schemes is significantly lower than that of C1-ML schemes.